Comportamento da temperatura obtida por radar meteórico na região tropical durante o Ciclo Solar 23

Abstract

Temperature values around 90 km height were used to investigate a possible relationship between the variations of temperature and solar flux during the solar cycle 23. The temperature data were obtained from the meteoric signal decay time in Cachoeira Paulista (22.7 ° S, 45.0 ° W). To find a possible long-term trend and variations induced by solar activity in annual average temperatures, the data sets were analyzed by multiple linear regression. It was observed that over time the temperature obtained by the two methods show variations. The variation appears to be most pronounced for the temperatures obtained by the gradient method, in which the amplitudes are larger, as well as the respective standard deviations. To analyze the behavior of temperature during solar cycle 23, the seasonally adjusted annual averages, after eliminating the influence of solar activity, they were used and the linear trend was estimated. The average temperature calculated by the model pressure tends to increase about 0.035 K / year when the entire period of observation is considered. However, for the period between maximum and solar minimum the average annual temperature has a tendency of increase of 0.166 K / year. The results show that the annual average temperature of seasonally adjusted after removal of the effects due to solar flux obtained by the gradient method would be higher than the original period for the solar decline. It is noted that the annual temperature seasonally adjusted virtually no change when t he time trend is removed, which may indicate that the annual temperature deseasonalized obtained by the gradient method are strongly affected by the solar flux.